Solana (SOL) trades at $82.70 after a 77% drop from 2025 peaks. Technical patterns suggest $60 target while DEX activity hits 3-year lows. The post Solana (SOL)Solana (SOL) trades at $82.70 after a 77% drop from 2025 peaks. Technical patterns suggest $60 target while DEX activity hits 3-year lows. The post Solana (SOL)

Solana (SOL) Faces 77% Decline as Technical Patterns Signal Potential Drop to $60

2026/03/29 16:50
4 min read
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Key Highlights

  • Solana has achieved the highest number of all-time unique developers at 10,864, overtaking Ethereum’s 9,017 total
  • Current SOL price sits at approximately $82.70, representing a massive decline from the 2025 high-water mark, with technical analyst Wealthmanager forecasting a decline toward $60
  • Three consecutive rejections at the $250 resistance zone demonstrate persistent selling pressure at that critical threshold
  • The number of active DEX traders on Solana has collapsed to levels not seen in three years, indicating diminished on-chain engagement
  • Technical analyst Crypto Patel identifies the present price zone near the 0.618 Fibonacci level as a possible long-term buying opportunity spanning $75 to $45

Solana (SOL) currently hovers around the $82.70 price point, maintaining a market capitalization exceeding $47 billion. The digital asset has experienced a dramatic pullback of more than 77% from its 2025 record high. Widespread cryptocurrency market turbulence has significantly impacted the token’s valuation despite impressive underlying network statistics.

[[IMG_4]]Solana (SOL) Price

Network performance metrics remain robust. Solana has overtaken Ethereum in cumulative unique developer participation, boasting 10,864 contributors versus Ethereum’s 9,017 count. Polkadot occupies third position with 8,995 developers. The blockchain consistently handles more than 3,000 transactions every second on an ongoing basis.

However, solid fundamental indicators have failed to drive upward price momentum. SOL has encountered rejection at the $250 resistance threshold on three separate occasions. This price level has established itself as a formidable barrier where selling pressure reliably materializes.

Futures trading volume has experienced a pronounced decline following the previous peak. Bubble map analytics reveal diminishing demand throughout the market, with the intense buying activity that previously fueled the surge now notably absent.

Bearish Outlook: $60 Target Emerges

Technical analyst Wealthmanager identifies a well-defined macro bearish trend extending from the 2025 apex. SOL continues forming successive lower peaks and troughs. Resistance spanning $100 to $120 has consistently repelled every upward correction effort.

Wealthmanager holds a short position outlook and anticipates a decline reaching the $60 threshold within a fortnight. Unconvincing bounce formations indicate that buyers currently lack sufficient strength to counteract prevailing downward pressure.

Should this support level fail, the $60–$65 demand area represents the subsequent critical zone for observation. This price range previously provided foundation during the 2024 uptrend.

Examining the two-day timeframe, price movements are developing what analyst Crypto Patel characterizes as a rising wedge configuration. This technical structure has emerged beneath the 200-week moving average. The pattern generally functions as a bearish continuation indicator when appearing following a substantial downturn.

The chart displays a rejection area positioned near the wedge’s upper boundary. A breakdown through the lower trendline would potentially trigger another downward wave.

On-Chain Metrics Show Deterioration

An additional chart published by analyst Sweep using Dune Analytics reveals DEX trader participation on Solana descending to approximately three-year lows. Wallet counts across Solana-based decentralized exchanges experienced substantial growth throughout 2024 but have subsequently undergone sharp reversal.

The metric monitors trader quantity rather than aggregate transaction value. Nevertheless, the retreat to multi-year minimums underscores a pronounced deceleration in speculative network activity.

Contrarian Long-Term Perspective Remains

Crypto Patel interprets the current trading zone through an alternative lens focused on extended timeframes. He observes Solana is positioned near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement boundary, spanning $75 to $45. This region corresponds with historical support zones and previous consolidation phases.

He designates this as a prospective accumulation territory, projecting long-term price objectives between $500 and $1,000 across multiple market cycles. He maintains this technical framework remains valid provided price action avoids a definitive breach below $45.

Analyst Moonbag shares a comparable perspective, highlighting price consolidation between support around $80 and resistance approaching $200. He envisions a potential upside breakout targeting $400–$600 should broader market sentiment strengthen.

As of publication, SOL is valued at $82.70.

The post Solana (SOL) Faces 77% Decline as Technical Patterns Signal Potential Drop to $60 appeared first on Blockonomi.

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Summary of highlights My focus has always been on building a bridge between traditional finance and digital assets, and upholding my principles while raising industry standards. Holding ETH indirectly through holding public shares listed on Nasdaq has its unique advantages. It is necessary to avoid raising funds when there is actual dilution of shareholder equity. You should wait until the multiple recovers before raising funds, purchasing ETH and staking. The biggest risk today is no longer regulation, but how we behave and the kinds of risks we are willing to take in pursuit of returns. A small, focused team can achieve significant results by doing just a few key things. If you can earn ETH through business operations, it will form a powerful growth flywheel. I hope that in a year and a half, we can establish one or two companies that support the closed loop of transactions in the Ethereum ecosystem and generate revenue denominated in ETH, thus forming a virtuous circle. The current global financial system is highly fragmented: assets such as stocks and bonds are limited to trading in specific locations, lack interoperability, and each transaction usually requires transfer through fiat currency. (I) From BlackRock to Blockchain: Joseph’s Financial Journey Chris Perkins: Could you tell us about your background? Joseph Chalom: I've only been CEO of SharpLink for five weeks, but my story goes far beyond that. Before coming here, I spent a full twenty years at BlackRock. For the first decade or so, I was deeply involved in the expansion of BlackRock's Aladdin fintech platform. This experience taught me how to drive business growth and identify pain points within the business ecosystem. My last five years at BlackRock have been particularly memorable: I led a vibrant and elite team to explore the new field of digital assets. I was born into an immigrant family and grew up in Washington, D.C. I came to New York 31 years ago, and the energy of this city still drives me forward. Chris Perkins: You surprised everyone by coming back after retirement. Joseph Chalom: I didn't jump directly from BlackRock to Sharplink. I officially retired with a generous compensation package. I was planning to relax and unwind, but then I got a surprise call. My life seems to have always intersected with Joe Rubin's. We talk about mission legacy, and it sounds cliché, but who isn’t striving to leave a mark? My focus has always been on building a bridge between traditional finance and digital assets, upholding my principles while raising industry standards. When I learned that a digital asset vault project needed a leader, I was initially cautious. But the expertise of ConsenSys, Joe’s board involvement, and the project’s potential to help Sharplink stand out ultimately convinced me, and so my short retirement came to an end. 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(3) Promoting the growth of net assets per share: What is the driving force of the model? Chris Perkins: In driving MNAV growth, how do you balance financial operations, timely share issuance to increase earnings per share, with truly improving fundamentals and potential returns? Joseph Chalom: I think there are two complementary elements. The first is how to raise funds in a value-added manner . Most fund management companies currently raise funds mainly through issuing stocks. Issuing equity when the share price is higher than the underlying asset's net asset value (NAV) is a method of raising capital using a NAV multiple. At this point, the enterprise's value exceeds the actual value of the ETH held. Financing methods include a market offering, a registered direct offering, or starting with a pipeline. 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The biggest risk today is no longer regulation, but how we behave and the types of risks we are willing to take in pursuit of returns. (IV) Talent and Risk: The Core Secret to Building an Excellent Team Chris Perkins: How do you find and attract multi-talented individuals who are proficient in both DeFi and traditional finance (e.g., Wall Street)? How do you address security risks like hacker attacks and smart contract vulnerabilities? Joseph Chalom: Talent is actually relatively easy to find. I previously led the digital assets team at BlackRock. We started with a single core member and gradually built a lean team of five strategists and seven engineers. Leveraging BlackRock's brand and reputation, we raised over $100 billion in a year and a half. This demonstrates that a small, focused team, focused on a few key areas, can achieve significant results. We recruit only the brightest and most mission-driven individuals, adhering to a single principle: we reject arrogance and negativity. We seek individuals who truly share our vision for long-term change. These individuals aren't simply optimistic about ETH price increases or pursuing short-term capital management, but rather believe in the profound and lasting structural transformation of the industry and are committed to participating in it. Excellent talents often come from recommendations from trusted people, not headhunters. The risks are more complex. Excessive pursuit of extremely high returns, anxious pursuit of every possible basis point of gain, or measuring progress over an overly short timeframe can easily lead to mistakes. We view ourselves as a long-term opportunity, and therefore should accumulate assets steadily. Risk primarily stems from our operational approach : for every $1 raised, we purchase $1 worth of ETH, ultimately building a portfolio of billions of ETH. This portfolio requires systematic management, encompassing a variety of methods, from the most basic and secure custodial staking to liquidity staking, re-staking, revolving strategies, and even over-the-counter lending. Each approach introduces potential risk and leverage. Risk itself can bring rewards. However, if you don't understand the risks you are taking, you shouldn't enter this field. You must clearly identify smart contract risk, protocol risk, counterparty risk, term risk, and even the convexity characteristics of the transaction, and use this to establish an effective risk-reward boundary . Our goal is to build an ideal investment portfolio, not to pursue high daily returns , but to consistently win the game. This means creating genuine value for investors. Those who blindly pursue returns or lack a clear understanding of their own operations may actually create resistance for the entire industry. Chris Perkins: Is risk management key to long-term success? Do you plan to drive business success through a lean team and low operating cost model? Joseph Chalom: Looking back on my time at BlackRock, one thing stands out: the more successful a product is, the more humble it requires . Success is never the product of a few individuals. Our team is merely the tip of the spear in the overall system, backed by a strong brand reputation, distribution channels, and a large, trusted trustee. One of the great appeals of the digital asset business is its high scalability. While you'll need specialized teams like compliance and accounting to meet the requirements of a public company, the team actually responsible for fundraising can be very lean. Whether you're managing $3.5 billion or $35 billion in ETH, scale itself isn't crucial. If you build an efficient portfolio that can handle $1 billion in assets, it should be able to scale even further. 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Joseph Chalom: We can learn from Michael Saylor's strategy, but the fund management approach for ETH is completely different because it has higher yield potential . I view competitors as worthy of support. We have great respect for teams like BM&R. Many participants from traditional institutions recognize this as a long-term opportunity. There are two main ways to participate: directly holding ETH or generating income through ecosystem applications. We welcome this competition; the more participants, the more prosperous the industry. Ultimately, this space may be dominated by a small number of institutions actively accumulating ETH. We differentiate ourselves primarily through three key areas: First, we are the most trusted team among institutions . Despite our small size, we bring together top experts to manage assets with professionalism and rigor. Second, our partnership with ConsenSys . Their expertise provides us with a unique strategic advantage. Third, operating the business . In addition to accumulating and increasing the value of assets, we also operate a company focused on affiliate marketing in the gaming industry to ensure compliance with SEC and Nasdaq regulatory requirements. In the future, earning ETH through operational operations will create a powerful growth flywheel . Staking income, compounding debt interest, and ETH-denominated income will collectively accelerate the expansion of fund reserves. This approach may not be suitable for all ETH fund managers. (VI) Strategic Layout: Mergers and Acquisitions and Global Expansion Plans Chris Perkins: What is your overall view and direction on future M&A strategy? Joseph Chalom: If the amount of ETH debt grows significantly and some of this debt is illiquid, this could present opportunities. Currently, listed companies in this sector primarily raise capital through daily market programs. If the stock is liquid, this channel can be effectively utilized. However, some companies struggling to raise capital may trade at a discount to net assets or seek mergers, which could be an innovative way to acquire more ETH. As the industry matures, yields could gradually increase from 0.5%-1% of ETH supply to 1.5%-2.5%. It might be wise to issue sister bonds with similar structures in different regions, such as Asia or Europe, with identical issuance conditions and shared core operating costs and infrastructure, thereby reaching a wider range of investors. We expect to engage in such creative mergers and acquisitions in the future, but the specific timing is still uncertain. I believe that the industry will first undergo an initial phase of differentiation before entering a period of consolidation . Technological development and business evolution often follow this pattern. Similar consolidation and M&A trends are likely to occur in the stablecoin sector, which will be worth watching. Chris Perkins: Why is transparency so important ? 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Investors have the right to clearly understand the products they are purchasing, and concealing information will make it difficult to gain a foothold. (VII) SharpLink's growth plan for the next 12 to 18 months Chris Perkins: What are your plans or visions for the company's development in the next one to one and a half years? Joseph Chalom: Our first priority is to build a world-class team, but this won't happen overnight. We've continued to recruit key talent and have assembled a lean team of fewer than 20 people, each of whom excels in their field and works collaboratively to drive growth. Second, continue to raise funds in a manner that does not dilute shareholder equity , and flexibly adjust fundraising efforts according to market rhythms. The long-term goal is to continuously increase the concentration of ETH per share. Third, actively accumulate ETH. If you firmly believe in the potential of Ethereum, you should seize the opportunity to increase your holdings efficiently at the lowest cost - even for funds that only allocate 5% to ETH. Fourth, we must deeply integrate into the ecosystem . As an Ethereum company or treasury, we would be remiss if we didn't leverage our ETH holdings to create value for the ecosystem. We can leverage billions of ETH to support protocol development through lending, providing liquidity, and other means, advancing the protocol in a way that benefits the ecosystem. Finally, I hope that in a year and a half, we can establish one or two companies that support the closed loop of transactions in the Ethereum ecosystem and generate ETH-denominated revenue, thus forming a virtuous circle. (8) Core investment insights: Key areas for future attention Chris Perkins: What additional advice or information would you like to add to potential investors who are considering including SBET in their investment plans? 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