The post Did last week’s decline threaten the path to 7120 for the SP500? Here’s what the Elliott Wave shows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. We have been anticipating and tracking the SP500 (SPX) to reach 7120 for some time, and last week’s decline appeared to throw a wrench in that wheel. However, as the stock market, or any financial market for that matter, approaches the end of its final 4th and 5th waves, the question almost always arises: Will there be one more rally or not? The challenge from an EW perspective is: “Did we count the waves, especially the initial part of the rally, correctly?” Namely, if one misinterprets the first sets of 1st and 2nd waves at the start of the rally, one will likely misinterpret the final sets of 4th and 5th waves as well. So, we returned to our most trusted daily line chart, which displays only closing prices, minimizing noise — i.e., “less is more.” Additionally, the closing price is the most significant price of the day and carries the most weight. See Figure 1 below. Figure 1. Our short-term Elliott Wave count, with the projected path from early September inserted Considering that 73 waves have been identified so far since the April 7 low (!), it’s clear that even with a 98% accuracy and reliability rate, about 2 waves could still be miscounted. Therefore, we must constantly re-evaluate our analyses; nothing is fixed. To do that, we follow the scientific method*. We find it remains very possible to see a final W-5 toward that 7120-7125 target. Namely, we last updated this daily line chart on September 4th; see insert. So, it was overdue. We found that this chart projected the completion of a gray Wave-iii around 6840, a gray Wave-iv near 6515, followed by a gray Wave-v, ideally at approximately 7020. Then, a final (green) 4th- and 5th-wave estimate at about 6575 and roughly 7120, respectively. Fast forward:… The post Did last week’s decline threaten the path to 7120 for the SP500? Here’s what the Elliott Wave shows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. We have been anticipating and tracking the SP500 (SPX) to reach 7120 for some time, and last week’s decline appeared to throw a wrench in that wheel. However, as the stock market, or any financial market for that matter, approaches the end of its final 4th and 5th waves, the question almost always arises: Will there be one more rally or not? The challenge from an EW perspective is: “Did we count the waves, especially the initial part of the rally, correctly?” Namely, if one misinterprets the first sets of 1st and 2nd waves at the start of the rally, one will likely misinterpret the final sets of 4th and 5th waves as well. So, we returned to our most trusted daily line chart, which displays only closing prices, minimizing noise — i.e., “less is more.” Additionally, the closing price is the most significant price of the day and carries the most weight. See Figure 1 below. Figure 1. Our short-term Elliott Wave count, with the projected path from early September inserted Considering that 73 waves have been identified so far since the April 7 low (!), it’s clear that even with a 98% accuracy and reliability rate, about 2 waves could still be miscounted. Therefore, we must constantly re-evaluate our analyses; nothing is fixed. To do that, we follow the scientific method*. We find it remains very possible to see a final W-5 toward that 7120-7125 target. Namely, we last updated this daily line chart on September 4th; see insert. So, it was overdue. We found that this chart projected the completion of a gray Wave-iii around 6840, a gray Wave-iv near 6515, followed by a gray Wave-v, ideally at approximately 7020. Then, a final (green) 4th- and 5th-wave estimate at about 6575 and roughly 7120, respectively. Fast forward:…

Did last week’s decline threaten the path to 7120 for the SP500? Here’s what the Elliott Wave shows

We have been anticipating and tracking the SP500 (SPX) to reach 7120 for some time, and last week’s decline appeared to throw a wrench in that wheel. However, as the stock market, or any financial market for that matter, approaches the end of its final 4th and 5th waves, the question almost always arises: Will there be one more rally or not? The challenge from an EW perspective is: “Did we count the waves, especially the initial part of the rally, correctly?” Namely, if one misinterprets the first sets of 1st and 2nd waves at the start of the rally, one will likely misinterpret the final sets of 4th and 5th waves as well.

So, we returned to our most trusted daily line chart, which displays only closing prices, minimizing noise — i.e., “less is more.” Additionally, the closing price is the most significant price of the day and carries the most weight. See Figure 1 below.

Figure 1. Our short-term Elliott Wave count, with the projected path from early September inserted

Considering that 73 waves have been identified so far since the April 7 low (!), it’s clear that even with a 98% accuracy and reliability rate, about 2 waves could still be miscounted. Therefore, we must constantly re-evaluate our analyses; nothing is fixed. To do that, we follow the scientific method*. We find it remains very possible to see a final W-5 toward that 7120-7125 target.

Namely, we last updated this daily line chart on September 4th; see insert. So, it was overdue. We found that this chart projected the completion of a gray Wave-iii around 6840, a gray Wave-iv near 6515, followed by a gray Wave-v, ideally at approximately 7020. Then, a final (green) 4th- and 5th-wave estimate at about 6575 and roughly 7120, respectively. Fast forward: the index topped out at 6753 for W-iii, bottomed at 6552 for W-iv, and peaked at 6890 for W-3. All targets were within +/-2% of the actual prices and demonstrated the reliable accuracy our premium newsletter subscribers have come to expect from our work.

Furthermore, last week’s closing low at 6720 also aligns well with the projected green W-4 low from over two months earlier. Therefore, our overall Elliott Wave path since early September continues to track the market. Additionally, the index only reached 6920 instead of 7120, which is a 200-point (2.8%) miss, and somewhat significant, as stock markets tend to be more accurate than that. However, since 4th waves often form complex patterns, meaning they can develop into an extended (gray) W-a, -b, and -c, we cannot be certain it has finished yet. As a result, last Friday’s low could have been W-a of W-4.

Thus, if the SPX stays above 6631 (last Friday’s actual low), we can expect the W-5 to reach approximately 7120. However, a daily close below 6720 would be a serious warning for the Bulls that the current rally from Friday’s low is only Wave b of Wave 4, and another move lower (gray W-c) to around 6575 is likely. Either way, the green W-5 is most likely going to happen.

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/did-last-weeks-decline-threaten-the-path-to-7120-for-the-sp500-heres-what-the-elliott-wave-shows-202511102002

Market Opportunity
SPX6900 Logo
SPX6900 Price(SPX)
$0.5505
$0.5505$0.5505
-4.04%
USD
SPX6900 (SPX) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Gold Hits $3,700 as Sprott’s Wong Says Dollar’s Store-of-Value Crown May Slip

Gold Hits $3,700 as Sprott’s Wong Says Dollar’s Store-of-Value Crown May Slip

The post Gold Hits $3,700 as Sprott’s Wong Says Dollar’s Store-of-Value Crown May Slip appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gold is strutting its way into record territory, smashing through $3,700 an ounce Wednesday morning, as Sprott Asset Management strategist Paul Wong says the yellow metal may finally snatch the dollar’s most coveted role: store of value. Wong Warns: Fiscal Dominance Puts U.S. Dollar on Notice, Gold on Top Gold prices eased slightly to $3,678.9 […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/gold-hits-3700-as-sprotts-wong-says-dollars-store-of-value-crown-may-slip/
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:33
Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC

Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC

The post Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson has weighed in on whether the Federal Reserve should make a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut or 50 bps cut. This comes ahead of the Fed decision today at today’s FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 bps cut. Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are currently trading flat ahead of the rate cut decision. Franklin Templeton CEO Weighs In On Potential FOMC Decision In a CNBC interview, Jenny Johnson said that she expects the Fed to make a 25 bps cut today instead of a 50 bps cut. She acknowledged the jobs data, which suggested that the labor market is weakening. However, she noted that this data is backward-looking, indicating that it doesn’t show the current state of the economy. She alluded to the wage growth, which she remarked is an indication of a robust labor market. She added that retail sales are up and that consumers are still spending, despite inflation being sticky at 3%, which makes a case for why the FOMC should opt against a 50-basis-point Fed rate cut. In line with this, the Franklin Templeton CEO said that she would go with a 25 bps rate cut if she were Jerome Powell. She remarked that the Fed still has the October and December FOMC meetings to make further cuts if the incoming data warrants it. Johnson also asserted that the data show a robust economy. However, she noted that there can’t be an argument for no Fed rate cut since Powell already signaled at Jackson Hole that they were likely to lower interest rates at this meeting due to concerns over a weakening labor market. Notably, her comment comes as experts argue for both sides on why the Fed should make a 25 bps cut or…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:36
[Tambay] Tres niños na bagitos

[Tambay] Tres niños na bagitos

Mga bagong lublób sa malupit na mundo ng Philippine politics ang mga newbies na sina Leviste, Barzaga, at San Fernando, kaya madalas nakakangilo ang kanilang ikinikilos
Share
Rappler2026/01/18 10:00