4 Tips to Beat the Crypto Market Cycle: How Survivors Win Big

Ask a veteran trader what defines success in crypto market investing, and you’ll rarely hear talk of picking the perfect coin or outsmarting the algorithmic whales.

The real winners? They have one trait in common: survival.

Crypto trader and influencer Ran Neuner has managed to withstand more than 20 market crashes, turning $1 million into an eye-popping $250 million in the process. He insists,

Crypto Market Corrections Teach Valuable Lessons

The crypto market moves fast, and if you’re new to this, it’s tempting to bail at the first signs of a correction in crypto prices.

Every rookie investor has hit the sell button at the worst possible moment. But do you really want to join the statistics of the 1.6 million traders wiped out in a single correction or the $20 billion that evaporated from crypto prices overnight?

Ran’s advice cuts against the grain. His own journey is a lesson in market psychology, conviction, and humility.

Back in 2016, Ran bought 100 Bitcoins at $1,000 apiece. No small bet for anyone, let alone a self-confessed crypto newbie.

Within months, the price soared to $1,500, but then, as only Bitcoin knows how, it crashed to $500 in just a few hours.

“So what did I do?” he confesses. “I did what every newbie retail investor does. And I sold my Bitcoin at $500.”

Wounded, but not defeated, Ran realized his mistake, bought back in at $900, but ended with fewer coins than before.

His error cost him 45 Bitcoins (around $4.7 million in today’s terms). Yet, as he says, his mistakes taught him valuable lessons. Here are four key tips Ran distilled from years spent in the trenches.

1. 80% High-Conviction, Multi-Cycle Tokens

The first rule to surviving and thriving in the crypto market is to allocate 80% of your portfolio to high-conviction tokens with proven resilience across multiple market cycles.

This isn’t about chasing the next dopamine-fueled meme rally. It’s long-term bags like Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana.

These coins “don’t die in crashes,” says Ran. They’re built on solid technology, supported by tight communities, and have rebounded from devastation.

Bitcoin has survived 80% drawdowns, Ethereum returned from a 95% wipeout, and Solana climbed back from a 97% collapse after FTX.

2. Treat Corrections as Buying Opportunities

Second, treat corrections in crypto prices as opportunities, not threats. Those stomach-churning drawdowns, Ran argues, are a feature, not a bug, of the system.

Why? Because if you truly have conviction, you should relish the opportunity to buy the same coins cheaper.

3. Avoid Buying in Peak Greed, Selling in Peak Fear

Third, train yourself to never buy when greed is peaking or sell when fear is rampant in the crypto market. Use indicators like the Fear & Greed Index and the 50-week simple moving average.

History shows: every major crypto market crash has a short window of extreme fear before the reversal.

“Extreme fear usually marks the bottom,” Ran notes. The trick is psychological, not technical. Wait until it hurts to buy, and only then jump back in.

Flip the playbook on its head: buy when others are fleeing, sell when everyone else is salivating.

4. Last of All? Keep a Long-Term Horizon

Finally, zoom out. If you find yourself consumed by every tiny chart move in crypto prices, switch perspective to daily, weekly, or monthly views.

“Every single time that the chart looks like it’s the end of the world, just zoom out,” he says. The miniature catastrophes on the one-minute chart are just blips in the context of long-term technological evolution and adoption.

What many crypto market newcomers miss (and what the veterans know intimately) is that “the only reason why they heard crypto was a good place to be, was because the market had already run.”

The lure of quick wealth draws them in at the top. They buy high, leverage up, and inevitably get wiped out when the tide turns.

The survivors aren’t those who trade every dip and rip. They’re the ones who have conviction, play the long game, and simply refuse to get flushed out.

So the next time the crypto market crashes, remember Ran’s battle-tested routine: hold 80% in high-conviction bets, use corrections to accumulate, run your checklist, and have the nerve to buy at peak fear.

Then, just survive. “Because in crypto, if you survive, you’ll get rich. It’s that simple. Those are the rules of the game.”