Several chart analysts on X now argue that Strategy’s MSTR has reached a rare oversold zone that last appeared at major turning points. Their overlays compare today’s structure with gold’s parabolic peak in 1980 while a fresh intraday breakout hints that momentum may be shifting again.
Analyst Flags Rare Oversold Signal in Strategy Stock
Crypto trader Mister Crypto says Strategy’s MSTR shares have reached an oversold level seen only twice before on the chart. In a post on X, he highlights a momentum indicator that has dropped back into the same low zone touched during the Covid shock in 2020 and again near the bear market bottom in 2022.
MSTR Long Term Oversold RSI Zones. Source: Mister Crypto / X
The chart shows MSTR pulling back toward a horizontal support area after its recent rally, while the lower panel’s oscillator sits at the extreme of its historical range. In the two earlier cases, that reading lined up with major downside exhaustion in the stock. Now, the indicator has returned to that band for a third time, suggesting selling pressure has pushed momentum to one of its weakest points of the past five years.
Parallel Chart Echoes Tie 1980 Gold to Strategy Shares
Meanwhile, other crypto trader shared two long-term TradingView charts on X, placing 1980 gold price momentum beside 2025 Strategy (MSTR) share momentum. The side-by-side shows steep upside runs into sell-offs. It also marks a lower-high rejection phase in both markets. The gold chart captures the historic 1980 peak and the decline that followed into 1982. The Strategy chart reflects a similar structure, with price reversing from highs after a visible lower-high test near a horizontal band on the Trend-Strength-3D oscillator.
GOLD 1980 vs MSTR 2025. Source: Bracco on X
Despite the decades separating these assets, the overlays reveal shared cycles of momentum exhaustion after strong expansions. First, gold surged for years into 1980. Then, price stalled, printed a lower high, and dropped in a prolonged move. Similarly, Strategy’s shares climbed from 2022 into 2025. After that, momentum rolled lower, tracing a faster but sharper downside sequence. Both charts visually link indicator extremes to historic phases where trend power faded, and counter-trend selling dominated for months to years rather than days or weeks.
The charts do not assert identical causes behind each cycle. Instead, they highlight how large macro assets, like gold, and public equities, like Strategy shares, can form similar shapes when momentum reaches its peak. Next, chart structure shows that trend compression, lower-high tests, and oscillator resets often come after powerful expansions. By displaying these periods together, the trader signals that rare, outsized directional phases can rhyme in price behavior even when assets serve different roles, attract different buyers, and trade in different eras.
MSTR Trades Into Weak Relative Strength After Long Slide, Bounces 1.4%
MSTR, trades at 184.15 USD on the 1-hour feed, according to a ContraClub chart posted on X. The shares gained 1.40% on the most recent bar, reversing part of a multi-month decline that started after the 2025 highs.
MSTR One Hour Resistance Breakout. Source: ContraClub / X
At the same time, the chart shows Trend Strength at 26.9 and Relative Strength at 26.9, placing the stock in the lower tier versus its benchmark group. However, the momentum panel prints an RSI value of 67.03, above the midline, indicating short-term buying power has climbed back into a controlled range.
Meanwhile, hourly trade volume reads 878.92K, and the accumulation/distribution panel shows aggregate flows marked at 160.73 million USD. The price chart features a flat horizontal line drawn near the 184.15 USD area, marking a recent inflection band where earlier rallies paused before rolling lower.
Source: https://coinpaper.com/12738/chartists-say-mstr-looks-exactly-like-gold-before-its-1980-pivot-bullish-or-brutal-ahead
