Uniswap: $2.29mln whale bet at multi-month lows – Is UNI’s $4.92 next?

Uniswap’s UNI token traded near multi-month support around $3.13 after a whale accumulated 640,000 UNI worth $2.29 million from OKX.

At press time, UNI hovered near $3.54, slightly above the demand zone that previously triggered sharp rebounds.

The purchase occurred during compression near structural support, not strength. That move aligned with a zone where sellers previously failed to extend downside.

However, repeated tests tend to weaken support. Buyers must now prove sustained commitment rather than short-lived defense.

Heavy resistance continues to define UNI structure

Despite localized stabilization, Uniswap [UNI] remained within a broader downtrend that rejected prior rallies.

The chart showed $4.92 acting as former support turned resistance. The $6.60 level marked a stronger supply ceiling tied to prior distribution.

Each rally since the breakdown stalled beneath these zones, reinforcing bearish structure.

Even so, the price held above $3.13. Bulls would need to reclaim $4.92 to invalidate the sequence of lower highs.

Until that level flipped, sellers retained structural control.

Parabolic SAR flipped below the price near $3.01, signaling a short-term bullish shift. That shift suggested immediate downside momentum had weakened.

Price held above the SAR level and recent swing lows, reinforcing stabilization.

Meanwhile, MACD showed histogram contraction as the MACD line curved toward the signal line.

Although both lines remained negative, the slope shift reflected fading bearish pressure.

However, exhaustion does not equal reversal. Buyers must extend gains toward $4.92 to confirm expansion.

Until then, the shift remained tactical rather than structural.

Shrinking reserves strengthen spot narrative

Exchange Reserve USD stood at $307.95 million after a 3.07% decline, reflecting a measurable contraction in on-exchange liquidity. 

When reserves fall alongside large Spot withdrawals, the circulating supply available for immediate selling decreases. 

The whale’s 640,000 UNI purchase directly contributes to this tightening effect. Reduced exchange balances often amplify price reactions when demand accelerates. 

However, shrinking reserves alone cannot generate momentum; sustained buying pressure must follow. In this case, Spot absorption aligns with technical support, creating a constructive backdrop. 

If additional participants join the accumulation, supply constraints could magnify upside reactions. Without broader engagement, though, the effect remains limited.

UNI Open Interest declines as leverage resets

Open Interest has fallen by 3.46% to $243.56 million, signaling that traders are reducing leveraged exposure. This contraction indicates caution rather than aggressive positioning. 

When Open Interest declines during price stabilization, the market often undergoes a reset phase. Lower leverage reduces liquidation cascades and can create cleaner directional moves later. 

At the moment, Derivatives traders are not fueling an upside breakout, nor are they accelerating downside pressure. Instead, participation appears restrained. 

If Spot demand increases while leverage remains light, price could respond more efficiently.

Conversely, without renewed participation, UNI may continue consolidating near support.

UNI held $3.13 as whale absorption and reserve contraction tightened supply. However, price remained capped below $4.92 and $6.60 resistance.

Parabolic SAR reflected short-term stabilization, not confirmed reversal. MACD showed fading downside pressure, but no decisive crossover.

Open Interest contraction highlighted cautious derivatives participation.

If bulls reclaim $4.92 with rising volume and Open Interest, the structure could improve. Until then, accumulation may represent positioning within a broader downtrend.

Final Summary

• A whale bought 640,000 UNI near $3.13 support as reserves fell.
• Uniswap stays below $4.92 resistance while Open Interest sits near $243 million.