SpaceX Plans $74B in AI Spending Across Texas and Arizona
SpaceX plans more than $74 billion in AI infrastructure across Texas and Arizona as its compute spending accelerates.
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SpaceX plans more than $74 billion in AI infrastructure across Texas and Arizona as its compute spending accelerates.
The MAGP ETF offers exposure to the Magnificent Seven alongside AI heavyweights OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX and Broadcom in a single portfolio.
Shares of Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ:SPCX) are trading higher on Thursday amid speculation that former Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang could join the company.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigned following personal scandals, causing Nvidia stock to drop 4.6%. Meanwhile, SpaceX stock rose 2.9% after Elon Musk expressed interest in hiring Huang. Musk sees this as an opportunity to strengthen SpaceX's AI chip and data center capabilities while denying Huang to competitors.
https://www.spacex.com/updates#building-the-future
SpaceX is diversifying beyond rocket launches into AI infrastructure, satellite communications, and lunar operations. The company secured a spot in NASA's $10 billion Commercial Lunar Payload Services program and signed major cloud services deals with Anthropic ($1.25B/month) and Google ($920M/month). Q3 2026 results showed 161% revenue growth to $14.6B with $4.4B net income. Three space-focused ETFs offer significant SpaceX exposure.
SpaceX announced a partnership with Qualcomm to launch Starlink Mobile, a new cellular carrier service to compete with AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile. While history suggests this is a difficult challenge—as previous fourth carriers like Boost Mobile failed—SpaceX has advantages including an established 13.6 million Starlink subscriber base, potential acquisition of Boost Mobile, and proven ability to scale internet services profitably.
-CNBC Report
SpaceX’s 13% slide means it may need roughly 40% more shares to buy Tesla, complicating a potential merger
SpaceX's AI division (xAI/Super Intelligence) is the key growth driver, with 830% year-over-year revenue growth reaching $7.56 billion in Q3, now accounting for over half of the company's total revenue. CEO Elon Musk projects annual recurring revenue could reach $500 billion to $1 trillion by end of 2027. While the stock has struggled due to market skepticism about AI spending, a potential market sentiment shift toward AI investing could drive significant stock appreciation.
Redwire announced a partnership with Sophia Space to develop orbital data center satellites, capitalizing on Anthropic's interest in deploying gigawatts of computing capacity in space. While the company has relevant aerospace technology and a strong backlog, it remains unprofitable and faces significant technical and competitive challenges. The $8 stock offers speculative exposure to an emerging market but is not a guaranteed bargain.
While Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's affair scandal dominates headlines, the article argues that structural issues pose greater threats to the AI infrastructure build-out. Democratic electoral victories in key data center states like Texas, Ohio, and Georgia have introduced regulatory uncertainty, with Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa pledging to ban new data center approvals. Additionally, bond markets are flashing warning signs as AI companies face a massive debt burden, with credit default swap spreads at record highs and bond prices collapsing, suggesting investors are repricing risks associated with Big Tech's unprecedented borrowing spree for AI infrastructure.
SpaceX stock, down 11% from its IPO opening, could potentially reach $357 per share in five years if it maintains a 50% compound annual growth rate. The company's Super Intelligence (AI) division is growing rapidly at 830% YoY, while its space and Starlink businesses show strong progress. However, the stock's high valuation (P/S ratio of 58) and regulatory uncertainties around AI data centers present headwinds to future gains.
Anthropic is set to launch its IPO on November 18-19, 2026, pricing shares at $70-$78 and potentially raising over $64 billion with a trillion-dollar valuation. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth (1,200% YoY to $33.2B in nine months) and enterprise adoption, but remains unprofitable with a $104B net loss. Historical analysis of major IPOs shows that 8 out of 10 largest IPOs from 1999-2023 declined in their first three months, suggesting investors may benefit from waiting for post-IPO dips rather than buying at launch.
SpaceX is targeting November 13, 2026, for Starship's 15th test flight, attempting to catch both the Super Heavy booster and upper stage for the first time. While this would be a historic milestone, analyst Daniel Sparks argues the stock is not a buy ahead of the flight, as SpaceX's $1.9 trillion valuation is primarily driven by its AI and Starlink businesses, not Starship. The space segment represents only 12% of revenue, and Starship development costs continue to rise at 44% year-over-year, with profitability still dependent on achieving frequent, cost-effective reusable flights.
SpaceX is positioned as a high-growth stock driven by Starlink (13.6M subscribers), Starship, and AI infrastructure investments. The article presents three scenarios for 2029: conservative (30% annual growth, $810 outcome), base case (45% growth, $1,400 outcome), and optimistic (60% growth, $2,260 outcome). However, risks include heavy capital expenditures ($19.6B in Q3), execution challenges, and competition in AI.
SpaceX and Tesla are exploring a potential merger that would combine electric vehicles, rockets, satellite internet, and AI under one corporate umbrella. However, analyst Brett Schafer argues that despite the technological promise, a $10,000 investment in the combined company is likely to be worth less by 2030 rather than more. With a combined market cap of $3.5 trillion, the merged entity would struggle to generate sufficient earnings to justify this valuation, especially given Tesla's stagnant revenue growth and SpaceX's extremely high price-to-sales ratio of 56.
SpaceX stock fell after the 2026 midterm elections due to concerns about potential AI regulations, particularly in Texas where the company is headquartered. While the company shows strong business fundamentals with 161% revenue growth and AI revenues exceeding half its top line, the author recommends waiting to buy due to upcoming insider lockup expirations on December 8 that could increase volatility.
SpaceX plans to invest $24 billion in a gas-fired power plant and supercomputing facility at its Texas Starbase to expand AI infrastructure and gain energy independence. While the project could strengthen AI capabilities following the xAI acquisition and improve operational efficiency, it faces significant capital requirements, regulatory challenges, and execution risks. The company's stock has underperformed peers recently despite positive earnings estimate revisions.
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